CASE #0021 · OPENED 3 NOV · UPDATED YESTERDAY

Do Egypt and Jordan keep Palestinians out because of past 'coups'? What the record shows

Black September, Lebanon and Kuwait are real history, but 'coup attempt' is a contested label, no coup in Egypt appears in our sources, and the reasons Cairo and Amman give today are different.

Evidence board

  • DisputedIn 1970 Palestinian fedayeen/PLO tried to overthrow King Hussein of Jordan (Black September).5 / 13 sources

    Part is documented: radical PLO factions (PFLP, DFLP) openly called for the monarchy's overthrow, armed groups ran a 'state within a state', and the PFLP's Dawson's Field hijackings triggered the army's offensive. But Fatah, the PLO's main group, officially favoured non-interference in Arab states, and Wikipedia notes there were Jordanians and Palestinians on both sides. Jordan's army launched the September offensive. Calling the whole episode a Palestinian 'coup attempt' compresses a power struggle between a state and armed factions into one label. It is accurate for some factions' stated aims, not as a description of Palestinians as a people.

  • DisputedThe Jordanian army killed about 25,000 Palestinians in 1970.2 / 13 sources

    Portuguese Wikipedia reports estimates from 3,000 to over 5,000 dead for the ten days, Jordan's own figure of 3,400, Palestinian sources of 10,000, and Arafat's later claim of up to 20,000-25,000. The 25,000 figure sits at the top of the highest, partisan estimate and is presented as fact in the Newsrael text.

  • UnsupportedIn Lebanon in 1976 Palestinians tried to overthrow the government and massacred civilians at Damour.3 / 13 sources

    Our sources document that the PLO built a 'state within a state' in Lebanon, that Arab pressure produced the 1969 Cairo agreement, and that the PLO became a party to the 1975-90 civil war alongside leftist groups against Christian militias, with Syria shifting sides. None says Palestinians tried to overthrow the Lebanese government, and none mentions Damour, so that part cannot be judged from this material. The Wikipedia article on the insurgency is itself one-sided in places and should be checked against academic sources.

  • VerifiedThe PLO leadership sided with Saddam Hussein's Iraq during the 1990 invasion of Kuwait.4 / 13 sources

    Wikipedia, citing the Washington Post, says Arafat pressed Saddam to link withdrawal to Israeli withdrawals, and in December 2004 Mahmoud Abbas apologised to Kuwait for the Palestinian leadership's stance. Kuwait's 1991 UN letter alleges PLO-linked fighters helped Iraqi forces. That letter comes from a party to the dispute.

  • DisputedPalestinians in Kuwait as a group backed the occupation, so their mass expulsion was a response to a 'betrayal' or coup.4 / 13 sources

    Kuwait was invaded and occupied by Iraq, so this was not a coup attempt by residents. Kuwait's government says some residents, including several dozen of 160,000 Jordanians, collaborated and were tried, and that most Palestinian-origin residents held Jordanian passports. Wikipedia reports that over 287,000 Palestinians were forced to leave in March 1991, that many had already fled earlier from fear, and that Kuwait's policy responded to the PLO's position. Kuwait's letter says nobody wanted to leave. Individual collaboration and leadership alignment are documented. Collective guilt of a population is a framing, not a finding. Palestinians again live in Kuwait (about 80,000 in 2012) and relations were repaired.

  • UnsupportedPalestinians attempted a coup in Egypt.4 / 13 sources

    No source we gathered describes a Palestinian coup attempt in Egypt. The documented episodes are different. Wikipedia says Palestinians had equal status under Nasser until 1978, when Camp David and the assassination of a culture minister by Abu Nidal militants led to their being treated as foreigners. A 2013 Egyptian court said Hamas and Hezbollah helped the Muslim Brotherhood orchestrate the 2011 jailbreak, which some prisoners dispute. The AP says Egypt once accused Hamas of backing Sinai militants. These are specific incidents involving militant groups, not a coup.

  • UnsupportedEgypt and Jordan close their borders today because of those past episodes.3 / 13 sources

    The AP reporting, carried by PBS and VOA, quotes the two governments giving other reasons, and none cite 1970 or Kuwait: fear that Israel seeks permanent expulsion and an end to the statehood demand, no guarantee of return, Hamas and militants in Sinai, the 1979 peace treaty and, for Egypt, a severe economic crisis. The Epoch Times op-ed asserts a history of 'bloodletting' and distrust, but quotes no official. Analysts' assessments of motives are interpretation. Past security episodes may inform the caution, but our sources do not show it as the stated reason.

  • VerifiedJordan and Egypt have publicly refused to take in Gazans, citing fear of permanent displacement, security and regional stability.2 / 13 sources

    AP, via PBS and VOA, reports King Abdullah II's 'No refugees in Jordan, no refugees in Egypt' and President el-Sissi's warning that a mass exodus aims to 'eliminate the Palestinian cause' and could turn Sinai into a base for attacks on Israel. Jordan's already large Palestinian population and Egypt's economic strain and refugee load are noted as context. This reflects official positions in October 2023.

  • DisputedArab states never took Palestinians in and keep their borders sealed.5 / 13 sources

    Jordan conferred citizenship on West Bank Palestinians in 1950 and, per Wikipedia, is the only Arab country to have fully integrated the 1948 refugees. Registered refugees there number about 2.18 million (2016). Egypt has never naturalised Palestinian refugees as a rule, and has restricted their rights since 1978. The Egypt–Gaza border is controlled, with Rafah the only crossing and open only to people. Egypt has backed the blockade since 2007. Still, the Palestinian Authority estimated at least 115,000 Gazans crossed into Egypt during the current war. 'Sealed' is therefore an overstatement for Egypt, and 'never took them in' is wrong for Jordan.

Analysis

A post circulating in English and Portuguese says Egypt and Jordan refuse to take in Palestinians because earlier Palestinian guests 'turned on their hosts' and attempted coups: Jordan in 1970, plus Lebanon, Kuwait and Egypt. The claim mixes documented history, contested labels and a causal leap. Here is each country separately.

What's being claimed

The versions we reviewed are a Portuguese translation of a Newsrael text, "A brief history of Palestinian betrayal", and an Epoch Times op-ed by Patricia Adams and Lawrence Solomon, reposted on Substack. Together they say Arafat tried to topple Jordan's king in 1970 (with a figure of 25,000 dead), Palestinians tried to overthrow Lebanon's government in 1976, and Palestinians backed Iraq's 1990 invasion of Kuwait and were expelled. The op-ed adds that Arab governments view Palestinians as 'existential threats'. Neither text describes a coup attempt in Egypt, though the op-ed lists Egyptian security fears about Gaza.

What the evidence shows

Jordan, 1970. Wikipedia's account shows armed fedayeen running a 'state within a state'. By 1970 the PFLP and DFLP openly called for the monarchy's overthrow, and the PFLP's airliner hijackings at Dawson's Field led King Hussein to order the army in. Syria then invaded briefly. But Fatah, the PLO's main faction, favoured non-interference in Arab states, and there were Jordanians and Palestinians on both sides. Portuguese Wikipedia gives death estimates from 3,000 to over 5,000 for the ten days, with Palestinian sources and Arafat claiming far more. So '25,000' is the high end of a partisan range. Whether to call it a 'coup attempt' is a matter of definition: some factions did seek the king's fall, but the PLO as a whole did not announce that plan. Jordan also gave West Bank Palestinians citizenship, and Wikipedia says it is the only Arab state to fully integrate the 1948 refugees.

Lebanon, 1970s. The PLO did build a state-within-state ('Fatahland'), under agreements Arab states pressed Lebanon to sign, and was a party to the civil war that began in 1975. Our sources do not say Palestinians tried to overthrow Lebanon's government, and none covers Damour, so we cannot rate that part.

Kuwait, 1990-91. Kuwait was invaded by Iraq; there was no coup. The documented part is that PLO leadership sided with Saddam, leading Kuwait to expel most of its roughly 357,000 Palestinians; Abbas apologised in 2004. Kuwait's 1991 letter to the UN accuses PLO-linked fighters and some residents of collaboration and denies anyone was driven out; it is a party's statement. Individual collaboration is alleged, while collective punishment of a population is a different thing.

Egypt. We found no Palestinian coup attempt in Egypt. Wikipedia notes equal treatment under Nasser, then restrictions after 1978 following Camp David and an assassination by Abu Nidal militants. A 2013 Egyptian court linked Hamas and Hezbollah to the Brotherhood in the 2011 jailbreak, which some prisoners dispute. The op-ed's line that Hamas 'seized power in Egypt' conflates Hamas with the Muslim Brotherhood.

What Cairo and Amman say. AP reporting on PBS and VOA records their reasons: fear that Israel wants permanent expulsion and to nullify statehood, no guarantee of return, Hamas in Sinai, the 1979 peace treaty, and, for Egypt, its economy. None cite the past episodes. The Egypt–Gaza border is tightly controlled, not sealed: the Palestinian Authority estimated 115,000 Gazans crossed during the war.

How outlets covered it

The Newsrael text and the Epoch Times op-ed are advocacy pieces. They compress several different conflicts into a story of repeated betrayal, use loaded wording and give no sources for figures. Newsrael also says tens of thousands were expelled to Tunisia after 1970; Wikipedia places the PLO's move to Tunisia after Israel's 1982 invasion. AP's explainer, carried by PBS and VOA, relies on officials and analysts and ties the refusals to fear of displacement and security. Wikipedia pages are summaries rather than primary evidence, and the Kuwaiti letter is a government's own account.

What we still don't know

We can't say how much memory of 1970 or Kuwait weighs privately in Cairo or Amman; officials haven't said it publicly in our sources. Our material doesn't settle Lebanon's Damour episode, casualty figures for 1970, or why exactly 'coup' is applied to some events. Before publishing, readers should seek academic histories of each case.

Sources

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